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July 31, 2008

Comments

I'm sure most regulations are costly (and that many have benefits), but the headline number appears have no credible support.

Mr. Sullivan's figure appears to be based on a study by Mark Crain done for the SBA, available here:
http://www.sba.gov/advo/research/rs264tot.pdf

If you read it, you find that the bulk of the estimate is extrapolated from a very simple regression with 24 data points that attempts to predict GDP as function of a "regulation index", education and a few other factors. (See table 2) I have to say that this regression would almost surely be rejected as unreliable if it were submitted to an academic journal. For instance, education is estimated to have a negative and insignificant effect on GDP levels - that contradicts virtually all serious research.

Highlighting a cost number for regulations based on this kind of unreliable, unrefereed, advocacy "research" doesn't really do much to advance our understanding of growth. In fact, it probably just muddies the waters and makes it harder for real research to be heard.

Staying out of the debate on the accuracy of the data, would the reduced fees for large businesses just be another example of how large businesses take advantage of economies of scale?

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Created by:

  • entrepreneur

Authors

  • Tim Kane
    Senior scholar at the Kauffman Foundation, former entrepreneur, and veteran Air Force officer.
  • Dane Stangler
    Research manager in the Office of the President at the Kauffman Foundation.
  • Robert Litan
    VP of Research and Policy at the Kauffman Foundation, and former White House official.
  • Brink Lindsey
    Senior scholar in Research and Policy at the Kauffman Foundation.